Football · Argentina Championship Women · 28/06, 23:00
San Luis FC (W) vs Boca Juniors (W)
51%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Luis FC (W) 1492 · Boca Juniors (W) 1521
| San Luis FC (W) | Draw | Boca Juniors (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 30% | 51% |
| Market | 20% | 29% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.16San Luis FC (W) 0.76 · Boca Juniors (W) 1.4
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 53%
BTTSNo · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Boca Juniors (W): 2-1-1.
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.5 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Luis FC (W) | Boca Juniors (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.7 | 2.4 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Luis FC (W) 1–1–2 Boca Juniors (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/25 Argentina Championship Women | San Luis FC (W) | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Boca Juniors (W) |
| 15/03/25 Argentina Championship Women | San Luis FC (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Boca Juniors (W) |
| 31/08/24 Argentina Championship Women | Boca Juniors (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Luis FC (W) |
| 13/04/24 Argentina Championship Women | San Luis FC (W) | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Boca Juniors (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Luis FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 7 | D |
| 30/03 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 15/03 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
Boca Juniors (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 15/06 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 21/05 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 29/03 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 20/03 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 13/03 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |