Football · Morocco GNF 2 · 27/06, 17:00
KAC Kenitra vs JS Soualem
36%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · KAC Kenitra 1511 · JS Soualem 1467
| KAC Kenitra | Draw | JS Soualem | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 32% | 32% |
| Market | 36% | 33% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.22 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.22KAC Kenitra 1.16 · JS Soualem 1.06
Over / Under 1.5Over 1.5 · 60%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KAC Kenitra (rating 1511 vs 1467).
- H2H favours JS Soualem: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KAC Kenitra | JS Soualem | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 17/33/50% | 33/17/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5 | 2.5 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 5.8 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KAC Kenitra 1–3–2 JS Soualem
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Morocco GNF 2 | JS Soualem | 2-2 | KAC Kenitra |
| 05/06/21 Morocco GNF 2 | JS Soualem | 2-0 | KAC Kenitra |
| 13/02/21 Morocco GNF 2 | KAC Kenitra | 1-1 | JS Soualem |
| 16/08/20 Morocco GNF 2 | JS Soualem | 0-1 HT 0-0 | KAC Kenitra |
| 01/12/19 Morocco GNF 2 | KAC Kenitra | 0-1 | JS Soualem |
| 27/04/19 Morocco GNF 2 | KAC Kenitra | 2-2 HT 2-1 | JS Soualem |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KAC Kenitra
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Chabab Atlas Khénifra Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 14/06 | Mouloudia Oujda Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Widad Temara Morocco GNF 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | MAT Tetouan Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Ittihad Tanger Morocco Cup |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | JS Massira Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Union Sportive Boujaad Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Racing de Casablanca Morocco GNF 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 04/04 | Stade Marocain Du Rabat Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/03 | WAF Widad Fes Morocco GNF 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
JS Soualem
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | USM Oujda Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | US Amal Tiznit Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Raja Beni Mellal Morocco GNF 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 23/05 | SC Chabab Mohammedia Morocco GNF 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | KACM Marrakesh Morocco Cup |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Chabab Atlas Khénifra Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Widad Temara Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 12 | L |
| 26/04 | JS Massira Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/04 | Mouloudia Oujda Morocco GNF 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 28/03 | MAT Tetouan Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |