⚽ Football · Uruguay Segunda · 27/06, 15:00
CA Atenas vs Tacuarembo
44%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Atenas 1533 · Tacuarembo 1501
| CA Atenas | Draw | Tacuarembo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 30% | 21% |
| Market | 40% | 30% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.22CA Atenas 1.4 · Tacuarembo 0.82
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Atenas | Tacuarembo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 33/44/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.4 | 2.8 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.3 | 6.2 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Atenas 2–2–2 Tacuarembo
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Uruguay Segunda | CA Atenas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tacuarembo |
| 15/11/25 Uruguay Segunda | CA Atenas | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Tacuarembo |
| 09/11/25 Uruguay Segunda | Tacuarembo | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CA Atenas |
| 28/09/25 Uruguay Segunda | CA Atenas | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tacuarembo |
| 05/07/25 Uruguay Segunda | Tacuarembo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Atenas |
| 04/05/25 Uruguay Segunda | Tacuarembo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Atenas |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
CA Atenas
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
2-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 07/06 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 28/04 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 12 | L |
Tacuarembo
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 14 | W |
| 13/06 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/06 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 18/04 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 13/04 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 6 | L |