⚽ Football · Uruguay Segunda · 27/06, 18:00
Uruguay Montevideo vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo
43%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Uruguay Montevideo 1444 · Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1547
| Uruguay Montevideo | Draw | Atletico Fenix Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 31% | 43% |
| Market | 28% | 28% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.28Uruguay Montevideo 0.98 · Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1.3
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Fenix Montevideo (rating 1444 vs 1547).
- H2H favours Atletico Fenix Montevideo: 2-1-0.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 12.9 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Uruguay Montevideo | Atletico Fenix Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.1 | 2.6 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.9 / 0.6 | 6 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Uruguay Montevideo 0–1–2 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Uruguay Segunda | Uruguay Montevideo | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo |
| 25/08/25 Uruguay Segunda | Uruguay Montevideo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo |
| 04/06/25 Uruguay Segunda | Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Uruguay Montevideo |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Uruguay Montevideo
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 13/06 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 07/06 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 16/05 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 09/05 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 11/04 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/04 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 11 | L |
Atletico Fenix Montevideo
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 25/05 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 11 | W |
| 03/05 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 28/04 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
2-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |