⚽ Football · Uruguay Segunda · 27/06, 21:00
Huracan DPA vs Rentistas
43%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Huracan DPA 1547 · Rentistas 1475
| Huracan DPA | Draw | Rentistas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 29% | 14% |
| Market | 31% | 30% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.03Huracan DPA 1.44 · Rentistas 0.59
BTTSNo · 65%
Most likely total2 goals
💎 ValueHuracan DPA or draw · @1.64Safer option: double chance at 1.64 (win or draw). The straight winner paid more but is riskier.
🔑 Match keys
- Value on draw: the model gives it +11.2% more probability than its odds (1.64) pay. The bookie has it underpriced → an edge over time.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Huracan DPA (rating 1547 vs 1475).
- Cards-heavy: 12.9 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Huracan DPA | Rentistas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4 | 3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.5 / 0.1 | 6.4 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Huracan DPA 0–2–0 Rentistas
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/17 Uruguay Segunda | Rentistas | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Huracan DPA |
| 22/04/17 Uruguay Segunda | Huracan DPA | 2-2 | Rentistas |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Huracan DPA
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 17/05 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 25/04 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 13/04 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Rentistas
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 14/06 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 10 | L |
| 31/05 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 10/05 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 30/04 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 20/04 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 10/04 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 12 | W |