⚽ Football · Uruguay Segunda · 28/06, 17:00
CA River Plate vs La Luz
43%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA River Plate 1490 · La Luz 1490
| CA River Plate | Draw | La Luz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 30% | 26% |
| Market | 42% | 29% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.32CA River Plate 1.34 · La Luz 0.98
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Early goals: 1.6 combined avg at HT (1.3 + 0.3) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA River Plate | La Luz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.9 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6.6 | 2.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.4 | 5.9 / 0.5 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · CA River Plate 1–2–0 La Luz
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/23 Uruguay Clausura | CA River Plate | 1-0 HT 0-0 | La Luz |
| 16/07/23 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | CA River Plate | 0-0 HT 0-0 | La Luz |
| 22/04/23 Uruguay Apertura | La Luz | 2-2 HT 0-1 | CA River Plate |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
CA River Plate
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
5-3 | 6-4 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 06/06 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 12/04 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 07/04 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 10 | L |
La Luz
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 11 | W |
| 14/06 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 0-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 18/05 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 12 | W |