⚽ Football · Uruguay Segunda · 28/06, 20:00
Cerrito vs Plaza Colonia
37%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cerrito 1509 · Plaza Colonia 1509
| Cerrito | Draw | Plaza Colonia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 30% | 26% |
| Market | 32% | 30% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.41Cerrito 1.39 · Plaza Colonia 1.02
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- H2H favours Plaza Colonia: 3-1-2.
- Early goals: 1.5 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 14.8 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cerrito | Plaza Colonia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.8 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 2.2 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7.5 / 0.4 | 7.3 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerrito 2–1–3 Plaza Colonia
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/24 Uruguay Segunda | Plaza Colonia | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cerrito |
| 20/07/24 Uruguay Segunda | Cerrito | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Plaza Colonia |
| 30/03/24 Uruguay Segunda | Plaza Colonia | 1-2 | Cerrito |
| 23/10/22 Uruguay Clausura | Plaza Colonia | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Cerrito |
| 26/06/22 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Plaza Colonia | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Cerrito |
| 04/06/22 Uruguay Apertura | Cerrito | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Plaza Colonia |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Cerrito
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 11 | L |
| 14/06 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
3-5 | 4-6 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 07/06 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 10/05 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 25/04 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 11 | L |
Plaza Colonia
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 06/06 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 30/05 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 11 | W |
| 10/05 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 25/04 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/04 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 04/04 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |