⚽ Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 25/06, 19:00
US Yacoub El Mansour vs Raja Casablanca
39%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · US Yacoub El Mansour 1510 · Raja Casablanca 1535
| US Yacoub El Mansour | Draw | Raja Casablanca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 33% | 28% |
| Market | 22% | 29% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.78 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals1.78US Yacoub El Mansour 0.99 · Raja Casablanca 0.79
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 58%
BTTSNo · 66%
Likely score0-0
💎 ValueUS Yacoub El Mansour +7.5%The model gives this bet 7.5% more probability than its odds (4.00) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Low estimate: 1.78 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.4 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| US Yacoub El Mansour | Raja Casablanca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.7 | 2.5 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.2 | 5.6 / 0.6 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · US Yacoub El Mansour 0–2–0 Raja Casablanca
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/26 Morocco GNF 1 | Raja Casablanca | 0-0 HT 0-0 | US Yacoub El Mansour |
| 24/08/25 World Club Friendlies | US Yacoub El Mansour | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Raja Casablanca |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
US Yacoub El Mansour
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | OC Safi Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/06 | HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 09/06 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 03/06 | Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | MAS Fes Morocco Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 04/05 | RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Raja Casablanca
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1 |
2-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 09/06 | KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/06 | RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | JS Massira Morocco Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |