⚽ Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 25/06, 19:00
WAC Casablanca vs MAS Fes
46%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · WAC Casablanca 1502 · MAS Fes 1490
| WAC Casablanca | Draw | MAS Fes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 31% | 22% |
| Market | 45% | 30% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.83 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals1.83WAC Casablanca 1.14 · MAS Fes 0.69
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 53%
BTTSNo · 66%
Likely score1-0
💎 ValueDraw +7.2%The model gives this bet 7.2% more probability than its odds (2.05) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Low estimate: 1.83 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- H2H favours MAS Fes: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| WAC Casablanca | MAS Fes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 4.5 | 1.2 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 6.5 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · WAC Casablanca 1–2–3 MAS Fes
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Morocco GNF 1 | MAS Fes | 1-0 HT 0-0 | WAC Casablanca |
| 20/08/25 World Club Friendlies | WAC Casablanca | 2-1 HT 1-0 | MAS Fes |
| 28/12/24 Morocco GNF 1 | WAC Casablanca | 1-4 HT 1-1 | MAS Fes |
| 30/08/24 Morocco GNF 1 | MAS Fes | 1-0 HT 0-0 | WAC Casablanca |
| 28/04/24 Morocco GNF 1 | MAS Fes | 1-1 HT 0-1 | WAC Casablanca |
| 11/01/24 Morocco GNF 1 | WAC Casablanca | 1-1 HT 1-1 | MAS Fes |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
WAC Casablanca
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 18/06 | FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 08/06 | OC Safi Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/06 | Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Raja Beni Mellal Morocco Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
MAS Fes
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 17/06 | Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/06 | FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 11 | D |
| 09/06 | FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/06 | OC Safi Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 11 | W |
| 22/05 | Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 06/05 | Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 02/05 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | D |