Football · Georgia Super Cup · 27/06, 17:00
FC Iberia 1999 vs Dinamo Tbilisi
39%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Iberia 1999 1516 · Dinamo Tbilisi 1553
| FC Iberia 1999 | Draw | Dinamo Tbilisi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | 39% | 31% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.39FC Iberia 1999 1.29 · Dinamo Tbilisi 1.1
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 56%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Iberia 1999: 3-1-2.
- Early goals: 1.9 combined avg at HT (0.7 + 1.2) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Iberia 1999 | Dinamo Tbilisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 2.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.9 | 3.3 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Iberia 1999 3–1–2 Dinamo Tbilisi
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Dinamo Tbilisi | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FC Iberia 1999 |
| 15/03/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | FC Iberia 1999 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dinamo Tbilisi |
| 26/11/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | FC Iberia 1999 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Dinamo Tbilisi |
| 19/09/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Dinamo Tbilisi | 2-1 HT 1-1 | FC Iberia 1999 |
| 20/05/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | FC Iberia 1999 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Dinamo Tbilisi |
| 09/04/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Dinamo Tbilisi | 1-2 HT 0-2 | FC Iberia 1999 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Iberia 1999
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/05 | Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 20/05 | FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 06/05 | Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
Dinamo Tbilisi
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 18/06 | Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
2-2 | 5-3 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
3-0 | 6-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 20/05 | Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 07/05 | FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |