Football · Georgia Super Cup · 27/06, 19:00
Dila Gori vs Torpedo Kutaisi
43%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dila Gori 1499 · Torpedo Kutaisi 1477
| Dila Gori | Draw | Torpedo Kutaisi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 31% | 26% |
| Market | 43% | 31% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.17Dila Gori 1.25 · Torpedo Kutaisi 0.92
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 53%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Dila Gori: 4-0-2.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dila Gori | Torpedo Kutaisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.9 | 2.2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dila Gori 4–0–2 Torpedo Kutaisi
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Torpedo Kutaisi | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Dila Gori |
| 16/03/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Dila Gori | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Torpedo Kutaisi |
| 03/11/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Dila Gori | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Torpedo Kutaisi |
| 23/08/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Torpedo Kutaisi | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Dila Gori |
| 07/05/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Dila Gori | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Torpedo Kutaisi |
| 15/03/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Torpedo Kutaisi | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Dila Gori |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dila Gori
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/06 | FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/06 | Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 15/05 | Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
Torpedo Kutaisi
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 17/06 | Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 28/05 | FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 20/05 | Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 05/05 | FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/05 | FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |