Football · Brazil Serie D · 28/06, 22:00
Porto Velho EC vs Sao Raimundo RR
47%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Porto Velho EC 1517 · Sao Raimundo RR 1498
| Porto Velho EC | Draw | Sao Raimundo RR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 31% | 23% |
| Market | 47% | 29% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.21Porto Velho EC 1.34 · Sao Raimundo RR 0.87
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 53%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sao Raimundo RR: 2-2-1.
- Early goals: 1.9 combined avg at HT (1.4 + 0.5) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Porto Velho EC | Sao Raimundo RR | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.6 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Porto Velho EC 1–2–2 Sao Raimundo RR
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Brazil Serie D | Sao Raimundo RR | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Porto Velho EC |
| 27/06/24 Brazil Serie D | Sao Raimundo RR | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Porto Velho EC |
| 08/06/24 Brazil Serie D | Porto Velho EC | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Sao Raimundo RR |
| 11/06/22 Brazil Serie D | Porto Velho EC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sao Raimundo RR |
| 21/05/22 Brazil Serie D | Sao Raimundo RR | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Porto Velho EC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Porto Velho EC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Sao Raimundo RR Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Humaita Brazil Serie D |
7-0 | 13-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Galvez AC Brazil Serie D |
4-0 | 6-2 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Araguaina Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Guaporé RO Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Independencia Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/05 | Nacional AM Brazil Copa Norte |
1-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Independencia Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 30/04 | Aguia de Maraba Brazil Copa Norte |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Guaporé RO Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
Sao Raimundo RR
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Porto Velho EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Manauara EC Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | GA Sampaio Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Monte Roraima Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Manaus Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Nacional AM Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Nacional AM Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Manaus Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Monte Roraima Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | GA Sampaio Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |