Football · Brazil Serie D · 27/06, 20:00
Betim FC vs Vitoria ES
44%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Betim FC 1500 · Vitoria ES 1535
| Betim FC | Draw | Vitoria ES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 32% | 24% |
| Market | 45% | 31% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.11Betim FC 1.25 · Vitoria ES 0.86
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 51%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Betim FC | Vitoria ES | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 33/56/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.6 | 2.7 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 4.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Betim FC 0–0–1 Vitoria ES
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Brazil Serie D | Vitoria ES | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Betim FC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Betim FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Vitoria ES Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Operario FC MS Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | ABECAT Ouvidorense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Ivinhema Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 19/05 | Uberlandia Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | CRAC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | CRAC Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Uberlandia Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 19/04 | Ivinhema Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | ABECAT Ouvidorense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
Vitoria ES
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Vilavelhense Brazil Copa Espirito Santo |
0-0 | 4-3 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Betim FC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | Vilavelhense Brazil Copa Espirito Santo |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 14/06 | Tombense MG Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 06/06 | Rio Branco VN Brazil Copa Espirito Santo |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/06 | Vilavelhense Brazil Copa Espirito Santo |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Real Noroeste Capixaba Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | SC Brasil Capixaba Brazil Copa Espirito Santo |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Rio Branco ES Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 21/05 | Serra Brazil Copa Espirito Santo |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 8 | W |