Football · Brazil Serie D · 27/06, 20:30
Maracanã vs Imperatriz
45%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maracanã 1548 · Imperatriz 1514
| Maracanã | Draw | Imperatriz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 34% | 22% |
| Market | 46% | 31% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.87 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Profitable betsUnder 1.5 goals · 43% · @2.75 · +18%
Under 3.5 goals · 88% · @1.20 · +6%
High-value bet — premium onlyGo premium to see it.Expected goals1.87Maracanã 1.14 · Imperatriz 0.73
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 82%model estimate
Match keys
- Low estimate: 1.87 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maracanã | Imperatriz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.8 | 2.1 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maracanã 0–2–1 Imperatriz
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Brazil Serie D | Imperatriz | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Maracanã |
| 08/06/25 Brazil Serie D | Maracanã | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Imperatriz |
| 01/06/25 Brazil Serie D | Imperatriz | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Maracanã |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maracanã
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Imperatriz Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | IAPE Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Moto Club Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 24/05 | Parnahyba Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Iguatu Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 11 | D |
| 09/05 | Sampaio Correa Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 03/05 | Sampaio Correa Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Iguatu Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Parnahyba Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Moto Club Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
Imperatriz
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Maracanã Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 06/06 | Tuna Luso Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Oratorio RC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | Aguia de Maraba Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Tocantinopolis EC Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Trem AP Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 05/05 | Trem AP Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 30/04 | Jacuipense Brazil Copa Nordeste |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Tocantinopolis EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | Aguia de Maraba Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |