Football · Brazil Serie D · 27/06, 21:00
Piaui vs Maguary PE
36%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Piaui 1500 · Maguary PE 1504
| Piaui | Draw | Maguary PE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Market | 32% | 31% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.84 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Profitable betsUnder 1.5 goals · 44% · @2.63 · +15%
Under 3.5 goals · 89% · @1.20 · +6%
High-value bet — premium onlyGo premium to see it.Expected goals1.84Piaui 0.88 · Maguary PE 0.96
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Low estimate: 1.84 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Piaui | Maguary PE | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.9 | 2.3 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Piaui 0–0–1 Maguary PE
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Brazil Serie D | Maguary PE | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Piaui |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Piaui
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Maguary PE Brazil Serie D |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | CEFAT Tirol Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/06 | FC Atlético Cearense Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Fluminense PI Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | AE Altos Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/05 | Ferroviario Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Ferroviario Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 30/04 | Itabaiana Brazil Copa Nordeste |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | AE Altos Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Fluminense PI Brazil Serie D |
2-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
Maguary PE
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Piaui Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | ABC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/06 | Sousa EC Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Laguna RN Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | Central SC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | America RN Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | America RN Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Central SC Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 19/04 | Laguna RN Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Sousa EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |