Football · Brazil Serie D · 27/06, 22:00
Uberlandia vs Rio Branco ES
43%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Uberlandia 1538 · Rio Branco ES 1499
| Uberlandia | Draw | Rio Branco ES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 33% | 25% |
| Market | 43% | 31% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.02 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.02Uberlandia 1.17 · Rio Branco ES 0.84
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 50%
BTTSNo · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Uberlandia: 3-0-0.
- High corners: 12 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 12.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Uberlandia | Rio Branco ES | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 29/29/43% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.6 | 2 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0.2 | 6.1 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Uberlandia 3–0–0 Rio Branco ES
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Brazil Serie D | Rio Branco ES | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Uberlandia |
| 28/08/21 Brazil Serie D | Rio Branco ES | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Uberlandia |
| 12/06/21 Brazil Serie D | Uberlandia | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Rio Branco ES |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Uberlandia
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Rio Branco ES Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | ABECAT Ouvidorense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Ivinhema Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 24/05 | CRAC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/05 | Betim FC Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Operario FC MS Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Operario FC MS Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 25/04 | Betim FC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | CRAC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Ivinhema Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-2 | 17 | 4 | L |
Rio Branco ES
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Uberlandia Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Porto BA Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Serra Brazil Copa Espirito Santo |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/06 | Audax Sao Mateus Brazil Copa Espirito Santo |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Democrata GV Brazil Serie D |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 28/05 | Vilavelhense Brazil Copa Espirito Santo |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 28/05 | Anapolis FC Brazil Copa Centro-Oeste |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Vitoria ES Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 11 | L |
| 22/05 | Anapolis FC Brazil Copa Centro-Oeste |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 21/05 | SC Brasil Capixaba Brazil Copa Espirito Santo |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |