Football · Brazil Serie D · 28/06, 23:00
Guaporé RO vs Monte Roraima
47%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guaporé RO 1535 · Monte Roraima 1502
| Guaporé RO | Draw | Monte Roraima | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 27% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.75Guaporé RO 1.61 · Monte Roraima 1.14
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Early goals: 1.7 combined avg at HT (1 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guaporé RO | Monte Roraima | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.1 | 1.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 5.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guaporé RO 0–0–1 Monte Roraima
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Brazil Serie D | Monte Roraima | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Guaporé RO |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guaporé RO
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Monte Roraima Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Independencia Brazil Serie D |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Araguaina Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Humaita Brazil Serie D |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Porto Velho EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Galvez AC Brazil Serie D |
1-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 30/04 | Nacional AM Brazil Copa Norte |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Porto Velho EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | Humaita Brazil Serie D |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/04 | Trem AP Brazil Copa Norte |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
Monte Roraima
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Guaporé RO Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Nacional AM Brazil Serie D |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Manauara EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Sao Raimundo RR Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | GA Sampaio Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Manaus Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 10 | W |
| 04/05 | Manaus Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 30/04 | Amazonas FC Brazil Copa Norte |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | GA Sampaio Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Sao Raimundo RR Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |