Football · Brazil Serie D · 28/06, 21:00
Noroeste vs Portuguesa RJ
46%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noroeste 1531 · Portuguesa RJ 1514
| Noroeste | Draw | Portuguesa RJ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 31% | 23% |
| Market | 46% | 31% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.14Noroeste 1.3 · Portuguesa RJ 0.84
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 51%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.5 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 13.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Noroeste | Portuguesa RJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.8 | 1.9 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.2 | 7.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Noroeste 0–1–0 Portuguesa RJ
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Brazil Serie D | Portuguesa RJ | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Noroeste |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noroeste
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Portuguesa RJ Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Sampaio Correa RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | XV Piracicaba Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Nova Iguacu Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Velo Clube SP Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Marica RJ Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 02/05 | Marica RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Velo Clube SP Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Nova Iguacu Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 11/04 | XV Piracicaba Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
Portuguesa RJ
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Noroeste Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | Portuguesa Desportos Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 31/05 | America RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Madureira RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Pouso Alegre Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | EC Agua Santa Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | EC Agua Santa Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Pouso Alegre Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Madureira RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 12 | D |
| 11/04 | America RJ Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 12 | W |