Football · Brazil Serie D · 27/06, 20:00
Blumenau EC vs Sao Luiz
44%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Blumenau EC 1539 · Sao Luiz 1526
| Blumenau EC | Draw | Sao Luiz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 31% | 25% |
| Market | 43% | 32% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.16Blumenau EC 1.26 · Sao Luiz 0.89
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 51%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Early goals: 2.1 combined avg at HT (1.4 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Blumenau EC | Sao Luiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.2 | 1.5 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.6 | 6.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Blumenau EC 0–1–0 Sao Luiz
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Brazil Serie D | Sao Luiz | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Blumenau EC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Blumenau EC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Sao Luiz Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 17/06 | Tubarao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 10/06 | SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2 |
4-0 | 6-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Sao Jose PA Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 03/06 | Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
3-0 | 6-0 | 13 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 27/05 | Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Azuriz FC Brazil Serie D |
3-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 20/05 | CA Metropolitano Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 12 | L |
Sao Luiz
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Blumenau EC Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 07/06 | Joinville Brazil Serie D |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | FC Cascavel Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Santa Catarina Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Guarany de Bage Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Cianorte Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Cianorte Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Guarany de Bage Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 18/04 | Santa Catarina Brazil Serie D |
3-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 11/04 | FC Cascavel Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |