Football · Brazil Serie D · 27/06, 22:00
CS Sergipe vs ASA
40%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CS Sergipe 1510 · ASA 1503
| CS Sergipe | Draw | ASA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 31% | 28% |
| Market | 40% | 32% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.21CS Sergipe 1.22 · ASA 0.99
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 50%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours ASA: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 13.2 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 13.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CS Sergipe | ASA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 7.3 | 2.5 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7.6 / 0.2 | 5.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Sergipe 0–2–4 ASA
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Brazil Serie D | ASA | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CS Sergipe |
| 05/07/25 Brazil Serie D | ASA | 2-2 HT 0-2 | CS Sergipe |
| 10/05/25 Brazil Serie D | CS Sergipe | 1-2 HT 0-2 | ASA |
| 04/01/25 Brazil Copa Nordeste | CS Sergipe | 0-2 HT 0-2 | ASA |
| 21/07/24 Brazil Serie D | ASA | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CS Sergipe |
| 27/04/24 Brazil Serie D | CS Sergipe | 2-3 HT 2-1 | ASA |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CS Sergipe
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | ASA Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 13 | D |
| 14/06 | Serra Branca EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Decisao Brazil Serie D |
1-2 | 2-3 | 13 | 13 | L |
| 23/05 | Treze Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Lagarto Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 09/05 | Retro FC Brasil Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/05 | Retro FC Brasil Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 12 | W |
| 25/04 | Lagarto Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Treze Brazil Serie D |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Decisao Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
ASA
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | CS Sergipe Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 13 | D |
| 14/06 | Jacuipense Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | CSE Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | CSA Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Juazeirense Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Atletico Alagoinhas Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 07/05 | Sport Recife Brazil Copa Nordeste |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Atletico Alagoinhas Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 30/04 | Juazeirense Brazil Copa Nordeste |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 26/04 | Juazeirense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |