Football · USA USL League Two · 02/07, 01:00
FC Miami City vs Fort Lauderdale Utd
Expected goals: 3.21 (FC Miami City 0.89 · Fort Lauderdale Utd 2.31). The model gives 12% home, 19% draw, 69% away. Over 3 goals (52%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-2.
69%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Miami City 1433 · Fort Lauderdale Utd 1583
| FC Miami City | Draw | Fort Lauderdale Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 20% | 68% |
| Market | 13% | 18% | 69% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.21FC Miami City 0.89 · Fort Lauderdale Utd 2.31
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 53%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fort Lauderdale Utd (rating 1433 vs 1583).
- H2H favours Fort Lauderdale Utd: 3-1-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Miami City | Fort Lauderdale Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.8 | 2 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 3 | 4 / 7.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Miami City 0–1–3 Fort Lauderdale Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 USA USL League Two | FC Miami City | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Fort Lauderdale Utd |
| 24/05/26 USA USL League Two | Fort Lauderdale Utd | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FC Miami City |
| 22/06/25 USA USL League Two | FC Miami City | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Fort Lauderdale Utd |
| 29/05/25 USA USL League Two | Fort Lauderdale Utd | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC Miami City |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, South Florida Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fort Lauderdale Utd | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 3 | 24 |
| 2 | Lakeland United FC USL 2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 16 |
| 3 | Miami AC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
| 4 | Weston FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 11 |
| 5 | Brevard Fire SC | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 27 | 8 |
| 6 | FC Miami City | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Miami City | Fort Lauderdale Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Miami AC | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Weston FC | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Brevard Fire SC | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Lakeland United FC USL 2 | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Fort Lauderdale Utd (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Miami City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Miami AC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/06 | Weston FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Brevard Fire SC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Weston FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 9 | L |
| 07/06 | Fort Lauderdale Utd USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/05 | Brevard Fire SC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 4-4 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Fort Lauderdale Utd USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 21/05 | Lakeland United FC USL 2 USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 13/07 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 10/07 | Weston FC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Fort Lauderdale Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Weston FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Miami AC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | FC Miami City USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | Brevard Fire SC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Miami AC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 28/05 | Lakeland United FC USL 2 USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | FC Miami City USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 21/05 | Brevard Fire SC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Weston FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Dothan United USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |