⚽ Football · USA USL League Two · 24/06, 01:30
Swarm FC vs Montgomery United FC
50%1
Pick: 1 · 50%
Over 2.5 · 61%
Both to score Yes
Score: 1-1
💎 +7.1%
🧠 Model analysisExpected goals: 3.15 (Swarm FC 1.85 · Montgomery United FC 1.3). The model gives 50% home, 23% draw, 27% away. Recommendation: Swarm FC (50%, media confidence). Over 2.5 goals (61%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 1-1. 💎 Value spotted on Montgomery United FC: +7.1% over the odds (4.5).
🔑 Match keys
- Value on Montgomery United FC: the model gives +7.1% over odds 4.5.
- High estimate: 3.15 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.5 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Swarm FC | Montgomery United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 5.3 | 1.6 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.5 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Swarm FC 0–2–0 Montgomery United FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 | Montgomery United FC | 2-2 | Swarm FC |
| 08/07/25 | Swarm FC | 2-2 | Montgomery United FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Swarm FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | East Atlanta FC | 1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Apotheos | 0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Montgomery United FC | 1-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 8 | D |
| 10/06 | Columbus United FC | 3-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 07/06 | Birmingham Legion FC Futures | 2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 04/06 | Dothan United | 0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Columbus United FC | 1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | Apotheos | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 13/07 | Apotheos | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Asheville City SC | 0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
Montgomery United FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | East Atlanta FC | 1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Swarm FC | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 07/06 | Columbus United FC | 1-0 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/06 | Birmingham Legion FC Futures | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | East Atlanta FC | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Apotheos | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | Dothan United | 1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/07 | East Atlanta FC | 0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/07 | Swarm FC | 1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/07 | Birmingham Legion FC Futures | 0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |