⚽ Football · USA USL League Two · 25/06, 02:00
Charlottesville Blues vs Lionsbridge FC
40%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charlottesville Blues 1565 · Lionsbridge FC 1609
| Charlottesville Blues | Draw | Lionsbridge FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| Market | 33% | 24% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.9Charlottesville Blues 1.49 · Lionsbridge FC 1.41
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 53%
BTTSYes · 59%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lionsbridge FC (rating 1565 vs 1609).
- H2H favours Lionsbridge FC: 2-1-1.
- Early goals: 2.6 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Charlottesville Blues | Lionsbridge FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.6 | 3.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 1.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.8 | 3 / 7.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 5.7 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlottesville Blues 1–1–2 Lionsbridge FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/25 USA USL League Two | Charlottesville Blues | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Lionsbridge FC |
| 15/06/25 USA USL League Two | Lionsbridge FC | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Charlottesville Blues |
| 06/06/24 USA USL League Two | Charlottesville Blues | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Lionsbridge FC |
| 27/05/24 USA USL League Two | Lionsbridge FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Charlottesville Blues |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Charlottesville Blues
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Virginia Marauders USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/06 | Virginia Marauders USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Hill City FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 10/06 | Northern Virginia FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Northern Virginia FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/06 | Christos FC USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Loudoun United FC II USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 28/05 | Hill City FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Virginia Beach Utd USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | Patuxent Football Athletics USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Lionsbridge FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Virginia Beach Utd USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Patuxent Football Athletics USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Northern Virginia FC USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 5-4 | – | – | W |
| 08/06 | Loudoun United FC II USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 4-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 04/06 | Annapolis Blues USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Christos FC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/05 | Bethesda SC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/05 | Virginia Marauders USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Christos FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Virginia Beach Utd USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |