Football · USA USL League Two · 28/06, 01:00
Boston City FC vs Connecticut Rush
67%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boston City FC 1392 · Connecticut Rush 1483
| Boston City FC | Draw | Connecticut Rush | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 19% | 67% |
| Market | 14% | 18% | 68% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.56Boston City FC 1.08 · Connecticut Rush 2.48
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Connecticut Rush (rating 1392 vs 1483).
- High estimate: 3.56 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.5 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boston City FC | Connecticut Rush | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 3.9 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.9 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3 | 1.8 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boston City FC 0–1–0 Connecticut Rush
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 USA USL League Two | Connecticut Rush | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Boston City FC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boston City FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
1-4 | 1-10 | – | – | L |
| 17/06 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/06 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Connecticut Rush
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/06 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Seacoast United Phantoms USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 04/06 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/05 | Seacoast United Phantoms USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 24/05 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 21/05 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |