Football · USA USL League Two · 28/06, 01:00
Lansing City Football vs AFC Ann Arbor
64%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lansing City Football 1420 · AFC Ann Arbor 1469
| Lansing City Football | Draw | AFC Ann Arbor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| Market | 17% | 19% | 64% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.57Lansing City Football 1.18 · AFC Ann Arbor 2.39
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Ann Arbor (rating 1420 vs 1469).
- High estimate: 3.57 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours AFC Ann Arbor: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lansing City Football | AFC Ann Arbor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 3.2 | 1.6 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 2.2 | 2.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lansing City Football 0–0–6 AFC Ann Arbor
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 USA USL League Two | AFC Ann Arbor | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Lansing City Football |
| 25/06/25 USA USL League Two | Lansing City Football | 2-3 HT 2-1 | AFC Ann Arbor |
| 11/05/25 USA USL League Two | AFC Ann Arbor | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Lansing City Football |
| 13/07/24 USA USL League Two | AFC Ann Arbor | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lansing City Football |
| 30/06/24 USA USL League Two | Lansing City Football | 3-5 HT 3-3 | AFC Ann Arbor |
| 02/07/23 USA USL League Two | AFC Ann Arbor | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Lansing City Football |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lansing City Football
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Union FC Macomb USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 19/06 | Midwest United USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-5 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 12/06 | Kalamazoo FC USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Oakland County FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 29/05 | Oakland County FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | AFC Ann Arbor USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 20/05 | Flint City Bucks USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Midwest United USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/07 | Flint City Bucks USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Oakland County FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
AFC Ann Arbor
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Flint City Bucks USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Kalamazoo FC USA USL League Two |
2-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Midwest United USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Flint City Bucks USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Oakland County FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Union FC Macomb USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Lansing City Football USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 20/05 | Midwest United USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 09/07 | Union FC Macomb USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 29/06 | Oakland County FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |