Football · USA USL League Two · 28/06, 01:30
Annapolis Blues vs Christos FC
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Annapolis Blues 1454 · Christos FC 1519
| Annapolis Blues | Draw | Christos FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 22% | 26% |
| Market | 53% | 22% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.75Annapolis Blues 2.22 · Christos FC 1.53
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Christos FC (rating 1454 vs 1519).
- High estimate: 3.75 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Christos FC: 2-0-1.
- Early goals: 1.7 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg → Over corners.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Annapolis Blues | Christos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.7 | 1.6 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.6 | 2.1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Annapolis Blues 1–0–2 Christos FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/26 USA USL League Two | Christos FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Annapolis Blues |
| 11/07/25 USA USL League Two | Christos FC | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Annapolis Blues |
| 31/05/25 USA USL League Two | Annapolis Blues | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Christos FC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Annapolis Blues
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Bethesda SC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-3 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 24/06 | Santos Laguna America Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 22/06 | Northern Virginia FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/06 | Hill City FC USA USL League Two |
3-2 | 5-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 16/06 | Christos FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/06 | Loudoun United FC II USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Patuxent Football Athletics USA USL League Two |
4-0 | 7-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 04/06 | Lionsbridge FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | Virginia Beach Utd USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | Patuxent Football Athletics USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
Christos FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Hill City FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Northern Virginia FC USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/06 | Annapolis Blues USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Patuxent Football Athletics USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | Bethesda SC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 08/06 | Virginia Marauders USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 04/06 | Charlottesville Blues USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Lionsbridge FC USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 20/05 | Virginia Beach Utd USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Lionsbridge FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |