Football · USA USL League Two · 29/06, 01:00
West Chester United vs LVU Rush
47%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · West Chester United 1541 · LVU Rush 1590
| West Chester United | Draw | LVU Rush | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 22% | 30% |
| Market | 47% | 23% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.88 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.88West Chester United 2.16 · LVU Rush 1.72
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 61%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LVU Rush (rating 1541 vs 1590).
- H2H favours West Chester United: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| West Chester United | LVU Rush | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.5 / 2 | 2.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.2 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.3 | 3 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · West Chester United 3–2–1 LVU Rush
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 USA USL League Two | LVU Rush | 3-1 HT 3-0 | West Chester United |
| 10/07/25 USA USL League Two | LVU Rush | 2-2 HT 1-1 | West Chester United |
| 18/06/25 USA USL League Two | West Chester United | 3-1 HT 0-0 | LVU Rush |
| 17/05/25 USA USL League Two | LVU Rush | 2-5 HT 2-4 | West Chester United |
| 03/07/24 USA USL League Two | West Chester United | 4-1 HT 2-1 | LVU Rush |
| 24/06/24 USA USL League Two | LVU Rush | 1-1 HT 0-0 | West Chester United |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
West Chester United
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Ocean City Nor'easters USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | FC Motown USA NPSL |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 18/06 | Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals USA NPSL |
4-1 | 5-4 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | Philadelphia Lone Star FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | Reading United USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Hershey FC USA NPSL |
5-1 | 10-3 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 10/06 | Delaware FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 04/06 | Hershey FC USA NPSL |
5-0 | 15-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/06 | Reading United USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/05 | WC Predators USA NPSL |
3-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | D |
LVU Rush
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Real Central NJ USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/06 | Eagle FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | PA Classics USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 10/06 | Philadelphia Lone Star FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Philadelphia Lone Star FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Real Central NJ USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/05 | Eagle FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Reading United USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/05 | Delaware FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | West Chester United USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |