Football · USA USL League Two · 01/07, 01:00
Charlotte Eagles vs Hickory FC
Expected goals: 2.99 (Charlotte Eagles 1.39 · Hickory FC 1.61). The model gives 33% home, 25% draw, 42% away. Under 3 goals (51%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
42%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charlotte Eagles 1480 · Hickory FC 1549
| Charlotte Eagles | Draw | Hickory FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| Market | 33% | 24% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.99Charlotte Eagles 1.39 · Hickory FC 1.61
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 51%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hickory FC (rating 1480 vs 1549).
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Charlotte Eagles | Hickory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 2.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4 | 2 / 2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlotte Eagles 1–0–0 Hickory FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/26 USA USL League Two | Hickory FC | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Charlotte Eagles |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, South Atlantic Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence II | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 6 | 29 |
| 2 | Hickory FC | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 24 |
| 3 | Asheville City SC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Appalachian FC | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 12 | 22 |
| 5 | North Carolina FC II | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 16 |
| 6 | SC United Bantams | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 15 |
| 7 | Charlotte Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
| 8 | Salem City FC | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 11 |
| 9 | Tobacco Road | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 30 | 8 |
| 10 | Wake FC | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | 37 | 6 |
| 11 | Port City FC | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Charlotte Eagles | Hickory FC |
|---|---|---|
| SC United Bantams | 0-0 D | 5-0 W |
| Charlotte Independence II | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Tobacco Road | 3-2 W | 4-0 W |
| Salem City FC | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Port City FC | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Appalachian FC | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hickory FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charlotte Eagles
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Asheville City SC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | SC United Bantams USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Charlotte Independence II USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 10/06 | Asheville City SC USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | Charlotte Independence II USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/06 | Tobacco Road USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Salem City FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/05 | Hickory FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Port City FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/05 | Appalachian FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
Hickory FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Charlotte Independence II USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/06 | Tobacco Road USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Wake FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Port City FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | SC United Bantams USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 07/06 | Appalachian FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/06 | Salem City FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/05 | Charlotte Eagles USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | SC United Bantams USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/05 | North Carolina FC II USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |