Football · USA USL League Two · 01/07, 01:30
Virginia Marauders vs Annapolis Blues
Expected goals: 3.8 (Virginia Marauders 0.9 · Annapolis Blues 2.9). The model gives 7% home, 12% draw, 81% away. Under 4 goals (55%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 0-2.
81%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Virginia Marauders 1384 · Annapolis Blues 1477
| Virginia Marauders | Draw | Annapolis Blues | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 14% | 77% |
| Market | 5% | 10% | 85% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.8 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.8Virginia Marauders 0.9 · Annapolis Blues 2.9
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 55%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Annapolis Blues (rating 1384 vs 1477).
- H2H favours Annapolis Blues: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Virginia Marauders | Annapolis Blues | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 3.1 | 2.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 2 | 2.8 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.5 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Virginia Marauders 0–0–2 Annapolis Blues
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/25 USA USL League Two | Annapolis Blues | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Virginia Marauders |
| 13/06/25 USA USL League Two | Virginia Marauders | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Annapolis Blues |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Chesapeake Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lionsbridge FC | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Virginia Beach Utd | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Charlottesville Blues | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Christos FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 31 | 20 |
| 5 | Bethesda SC | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 20 | 14 |
| 6 | Annapolis Blues | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 16 |
| 7 | Northern Virginia FC | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 15 |
| 8 | Hill City FC | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 23 | 15 |
| 9 | Loudoun United FC II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 13 |
| 10 | Virginia Marauders | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 31 | 3 |
| 11 | Patuxent Football Athletics | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 42 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Virginia Marauders | Annapolis Blues |
|---|---|---|
| Loudoun United FC II | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Virginia Beach Utd | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Patuxent Football Athletics | 1-0 W | 7-0 W |
| Christos FC | 1-3 L | 6-2 W |
| Hill City FC | 1-5 L | 5-2 W |
| Lionsbridge FC | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Northern Virginia FC | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 6 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Annapolis Blues (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Virginia Marauders
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Loudoun United FC II USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Charlottesville Blues USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 18/06 | Charlottesville Blues USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Virginia Beach Utd USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Patuxent Football Athletics USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/06 | Christos FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/06 | Loudoun United FC II USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/06 | Hill City FC USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | Lionsbridge FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/05 | Northern Virginia FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
Annapolis Blues
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Christos FC USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 6-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 25/06 | Bethesda SC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-3 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 24/06 | Santos Laguna America Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 22/06 | Northern Virginia FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/06 | Hill City FC USA USL League Two |
3-2 | 5-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 16/06 | Christos FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/06 | Loudoun United FC II USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Patuxent Football Athletics USA USL League Two |
4-0 | 7-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 04/06 | Lionsbridge FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | Virginia Beach Utd USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |