⚽ Football · USA USL League Two · 25/06, 01:30
Morris Elite vs New Jersey Copa
42%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Morris Elite 1448 · New Jersey Copa 1437
| Morris Elite | Draw | New Jersey Copa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 23% | 29% |
| Market | 26% | 22% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.22Morris Elite 1.83 · New Jersey Copa 1.39
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 51%
BTTSYes · 63%
Likely score1-1
💎 ValuePremium onlyHigh value detected. Go premium to see it.
🔑 Match keys
- Value on Morris Elite: the model gives it +10% more probability than its odds (3.50) pay. The bookie has it underpriced → an edge over time.
- High estimate: 3.22 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours New Jersey Copa: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Morris Elite | New Jersey Copa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.4 | 1.3 / 3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.9 | 1 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.5 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Morris Elite 2–1–3 New Jersey Copa
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/25 USA USL League Two | New Jersey Copa | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Morris Elite |
| 06/07/24 USA USL League Two | New Jersey Copa | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Morris Elite |
| 27/06/24 USA USL League Two | Morris Elite | 2-1 HT 0-0 | New Jersey Copa |
| 09/07/23 USA USL League Two | New Jersey Copa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Morris Elite |
| 11/06/23 USA USL League Two | Morris Elite | 1-4 HT 1-2 | New Jersey Copa |
| 16/07/22 USA USL League Two | New Jersey Copa | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Morris Elite |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Morris Elite
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Cedar Stars Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 08/06 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/06 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Hudson Valley Hammers USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 21/05 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 13/07 | Hudson Valley Hammers USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 10/07 | New Jersey Copa USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/07 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 4-3 | 7 | 5 | W |
New Jersey Copa
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/06 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 02/06 | Cedar Stars Rush USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Hudson Valley Hammers USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/05 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 12/07 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-7 | – | – | L |
| 10/07 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/07 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |