⚽ Football · USA USL League Two · 25/06, 01:30
Westchester Flames vs Hudson Valley Hammers
59%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Westchester Flames 1415 · Hudson Valley Hammers 1536
| Westchester Flames | Draw | Hudson Valley Hammers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 20% | 48% |
| Market | 15% | 18% | 67% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.01Westchester Flames 1.79 · Hudson Valley Hammers 2.23
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 74%
Likely score1-2
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hudson Valley Hammers (rating 1415 vs 1536).
- High estimate: 4.01 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Hudson Valley Hammers: 4-2-0.
- Early goals: 1.7 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Westchester Flames | Hudson Valley Hammers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 3.2 | 2.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.4 | 2.2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Westchester Flames 0–2–4 Hudson Valley Hammers
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/25 USA USL League Two | Hudson Valley Hammers | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Westchester Flames |
| 30/06/24 USA USL League Two | Westchester Flames | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Hudson Valley Hammers |
| 13/06/24 USA USL League Two | Hudson Valley Hammers | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Westchester Flames |
| 13/07/23 USA USL League Two | Hudson Valley Hammers | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Westchester Flames |
| 27/06/23 USA USL League Two | Westchester Flames | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Hudson Valley Hammers |
| 19/06/22 USA USL League Two | Westchester Flames | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Hudson Valley Hammers |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Westchester Flames
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 18/06 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
2-3 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Cedar Stars Rush USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | New Jersey Copa USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 01/06 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/05 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-6 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/07 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/07 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Hudson Valley Hammers
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 17/06 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | New Jersey Copa USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 28/05 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 16/07 | Ocean City Nor'easters USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 13/07 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 10/07 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |