⚽ Football · USA USL League Two · 26/06, 01:00
Seacoast United Phantoms vs Boston Bolts
41%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Seacoast United Phantoms 1473 · Boston Bolts 1481
| Seacoast United Phantoms | Draw | Boston Bolts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 22% | 33% |
| Market | 37% | 24% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.63Seacoast United Phantoms 1.97 · Boston Bolts 1.66
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 57%
BTTSYes · 70%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- High estimate: 3.63 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Seacoast United Phantoms: 5-0-1.
- Early goals: 1.3 combined avg at HT (0.3 + 1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Seacoast United Phantoms | Boston Bolts | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2 | 1.7 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 50/0/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.8 | 3.1 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.3 | 2.6 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Seacoast United Phantoms 5–0–1 Boston Bolts
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/25 USA USL League Two | Seacoast United Phantoms | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Boston Bolts |
| 29/05/25 USA USL League Two | Boston Bolts | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Seacoast United Phantoms |
| 19/06/24 USA USL League Two | Seacoast United Phantoms | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Boston Bolts |
| 30/05/24 USA USL League Two | Boston Bolts | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Seacoast United Phantoms |
| 16/07/23 USA USL League Two | Boston Bolts | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Seacoast United Phantoms |
| 01/06/23 USA USL League Two | Seacoast United Phantoms | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Boston Bolts |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Seacoast United Phantoms
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/05 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 21/05 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/07 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
Boston Bolts
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 17/06 | Boston City FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 03/06 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 28/05 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Boston City FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 19/05 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 13/07 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |