Football · USA USL League Two · 28/06, 01:00
Delaware FC vs Real Central NJ
42%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Delaware FC 1471 · Real Central NJ 1490
| Delaware FC | Draw | Real Central NJ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 25% | 42% |
| Market | 33% | 24% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.18Delaware FC 1.48 · Real Central NJ 1.7
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Real Central NJ usually leads at HT (60%) while Delaware FC trails (60%): look at away at HT.
- High estimate: 3.18 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.8 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Delaware FC | Real Central NJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.1 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Delaware FC 1–1–1 Real Central NJ
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/25 USA USL League Two | Delaware FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Real Central NJ |
| 23/06/25 USA USL League Two | Delaware FC | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Real Central NJ |
| 29/05/25 USA USL League Two | Real Central NJ | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Delaware FC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Delaware FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Reading United USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Philadelphia Lone Star FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | PA Classics USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Ocean City Nor'easters USA USL League Two |
2-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 10/06 | West Chester United USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 03/06 | Eagle FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Ocean City Nor'easters USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/05 | Philadelphia Lone Star FC USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 4-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | PA Classics USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/05 | LVU Rush USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
Real Central NJ
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | LVU Rush USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | PA Classics USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 19/06 | Ocean City Nor'easters USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/06 | Reading United USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | Philadelphia Lone Star FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Eagle FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | Ocean City Nor'easters USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | LVU Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/05 | Reading United USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/05 | PA Classics USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |