Football · USA USL League Two · 29/06, 02:00
Miami AC vs Brevard Fire SC
49%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miami AC 1463 · Brevard Fire SC 1462
| Miami AC | Draw | Brevard Fire SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 22% | 28% |
| Market | 49% | 24% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.8 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.8Miami AC 2.17 · Brevard Fire SC 1.63
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 56%
BTTSYes · 61%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- High estimate: 3.8 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 0.3) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Miami AC | Brevard Fire SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 3 | 1.9 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3 | 1.3 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Miami AC 1–0–1 Brevard Fire SC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 USA USL League Two | Miami AC | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Brevard Fire SC |
| 24/05/26 USA USL League Two | Brevard Fire SC | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Miami AC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miami AC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | FC Miami City USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/06 | Lakeland United FC USL 2 USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Fort Lauderdale Utd USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Brevard Fire SC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 04/06 | Weston FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Fort Lauderdale Utd USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Brevard Fire SC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/05 | Lakeland United FC USL 2 USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/05 | Weston FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 06/07 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League Two |
0-6 | 0-16 | 2 | 1 | L |
Brevard Fire SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Weston FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | FC Miami City USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Lakeland United FC USL 2 USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Miami AC USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 04/06 | Fort Lauderdale Utd USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Lakeland United FC USL 2 USA USL League Two |
0-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 28/05 | FC Miami City USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 4-4 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Miami AC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | Fort Lauderdale Utd USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 14/05 | Lakeland United FC USL 2 USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |