Football · USA USL League Two · 02/07, 00:00

Weston FC vs Brevard Fire SC

Expected goals: 3.61 (Weston FC 2.04 · Brevard Fire SC 1.56). The model gives 48% home, 23% draw, 29% away. Over 3 goals (55%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-1.

48%1

48% 23% 29%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Weston FC 1470 · Brevard Fire SC 1461

	Weston FC	Draw	Brevard Fire SC
Our model	48%	23%	29%
Market	48%	23%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis

Expected goals3.61Weston FC 2.04 · Brevard Fire SC 1.56

Over / Under 3Over 3 · 55%

BTTSYes · 60%

Most likely total3 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Weston FC	Brevard Fire SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.9	1.9 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 3.1	1.2 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.1	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.80

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.8

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 1.85 → 1.85 – 0%

X 3.80 → 3.80 – 0%

2 3.10 → 3.10 – 0%

Over/Under 3

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Weston FC 0–1–0 Brevard Fire SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/06/26 USA USL League Two	Brevard Fire SC	2-2 HT 1-0	Weston FC

Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, South Florida Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Fort Lauderdale Utd	9	8	0	1	19	3	24
2	Lakeland United FC USL 2	9	5	1	3	19	14	16
3	Miami AC	10	4	3	3	16	16	15
4	Weston FC	9	3	2	4	13	16	11
5	Brevard Fire SC	11	2	2	7	21	27	8
6	FC Miami City	8	1	2	5	12	24	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Weston FC	Brevard Fire SC
Lakeland United FC USL 2	2-3 L	0-1 L
Fort Lauderdale Utd	1-3 L	1-2 L
FC Miami City	3-1 W	4-1 W
Miami AC	0-3 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Brevard Fire SC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Weston FC

LDLLWWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/06	Lakeland United FC USL 2 USA USL League Two	1-1	2-3	4	2	L
26/06	Brevard Fire SC USA USL League Two	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
25/06	Fort Lauderdale Utd USA USL League Two	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
18/06	FC Miami City USA USL League Two	1-0	3-1	5	6	W
11/06	FC Miami City USA USL League Two	1-2	4-2	4	9	W
07/06	Lakeland United FC USL 2 USA USL League Two	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
04/06	Miami AC USA USL League Two	0-2	0-3	4	7	L
17/05	Fort Lauderdale Utd USA USL League Two	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
14/05	Miami AC USA USL League Two	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
12/07	St. Petersburg USA USL League Two	0-1	1-3	1	7	L

Brevard Fire SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/06	Miami AC USA USL League Two	0-1	2-3	4	1	L
26/06	Weston FC USA USL League Two	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
14/06	FC Miami City USA USL League Two	0-0	4-1	–	–	W
11/06	Lakeland United FC USL 2 USA USL League Two	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
06/06	Miami AC USA USL League Two	1-2	3-2	5	4	W
04/06	Fort Lauderdale Utd USA USL League Two	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
31/05	Lakeland United FC USL 2 USA USL League Two	0-4	2-4	4	5	L
28/05	FC Miami City USA USL League Two	1-2	4-4	–	–	D
24/05	Miami AC USA USL League Two	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
21/05	Fort Lauderdale Utd USA USL League Two	0-1	0-2	2	1	L