Football · USA USL League Two · 02/07, 04:00
Davis Legacy vs Academica SC
Expected goals: 3.46 (Davis Legacy 1.85 · Academica SC 1.62). The model gives 43% home, 24% draw, 33% away. Over 3 goals (54%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
43%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Davis Legacy 1456 · Academica SC 1476
| Davis Legacy | Draw | Academica SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| Market | 43% | 24% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.46Davis Legacy 1.85 · Academica SC 1.62
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 54%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Davis Legacy | Academica SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2 | 1.9 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 8.3 | 2.3 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 4 / 1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Davis Legacy 2–2–2 Academica SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/26 USA USL League Two | Academica SC | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Davis Legacy |
| 03/07/25 USA USL League Two | Davis Legacy | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Academica SC |
| 22/05/25 USA USL League Two | Academica SC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Davis Legacy |
| 14/07/24 USA USL League Two | Davis Legacy | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Academica SC |
| 30/05/24 USA USL League Two | Academica SC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Davis Legacy |
| 15/07/23 USA USL League Two | Davis Legacy | 3-4 HT 1-3 | Academica SC |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Norcal Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Francisco City FC | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Project 51O | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 22 |
| 3 | Almaden SC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 20 |
| 4 | San Francisco Glens SC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 13 |
| 5 | Davis Legacy | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 9 |
| 6 | Academica SC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 25 | 9 |
| 7 | Marin FC Legends | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 34 | 8 |
| 8 | San Juan FC | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Davis Legacy | Academica SC |
|---|---|---|
| San Juan FC | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Project 51O | 1-2 L | 3-5 L |
| Marin FC Legends | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| San Francisco Glens SC | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Almaden SC | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| San Francisco City FC | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Davis Legacy (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Davis Legacy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | San Juan FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/06 | Project 51O USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/06 | Marin FC Legends USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | San Francisco Glens SC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | San Francisco Glens SC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Marin FC Legends USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Almaden SC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 2-2 | 14 | 7 | D |
| 18/05 | San Francisco City FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-3 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | Academica SC USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 08/05 | San Juan FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
Academica SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Marin FC Legends USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/06 | San Francisco City FC USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Project 51O USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 18/06 | San Francisco Glens SC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 11/06 | Almaden SC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/06 | San Juan FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 01/06 | Marin FC Legends USA USL League Two |
3-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Almaden SC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/05 | Davis Legacy USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Project 51O USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |