Football · USA USL League Two · 28/06, 01:30
Westchester Flames vs Cedar Stars Rush
65%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Westchester Flames 1408 · Cedar Stars Rush 1502
| Westchester Flames | Draw | Cedar Stars Rush | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| Market | 16% | 18% | 66% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.58Westchester Flames 1.15 · Cedar Stars Rush 2.44
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cedar Stars Rush (rating 1408 vs 1502).
- High estimate: 3.58 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Cedar Stars Rush: 4-0-2.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 0.5) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Westchester Flames | Cedar Stars Rush | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 3.4 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.3 | 2 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Westchester Flames 2–0–4 Cedar Stars Rush
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/26 USA USL League Two | Cedar Stars Rush | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Westchester Flames |
| 09/06/25 USA USL League Two | Cedar Stars Rush | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Westchester Flames |
| 14/07/24 USA USL League Two | Westchester Flames | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Cedar Stars Rush |
| 06/07/23 USA USL League Two | Cedar Stars Rush | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Westchester Flames |
| 30/06/22 USA USL League Two | Cedar Stars Rush | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Westchester Flames |
| 05/06/22 USA USL League Two | Westchester Flames | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Cedar Stars Rush |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Westchester Flames
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Hudson Valley Hammers USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 21/06 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 18/06 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
2-3 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Cedar Stars Rush USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | New Jersey Copa USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 01/06 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/05 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-6 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/07 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
Cedar Stars Rush
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/06 | New Jersey Copa USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |