Football · USA USL League Two · 29/06, 00:00
Portland Bangers vs Bigfoot FC
79%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Portland Bangers 1540 · Bigfoot FC 1424
| Portland Bangers | Draw | Bigfoot FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 81% | 11% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.2 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals4.2Portland Bangers 3.1 · Bigfoot FC 1.1
Over / Under 4Over 4 · 50%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Portland Bangers (rating 1540 vs 1424).
- High estimate: 4.2 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Bigfoot FC: 2-0-0.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.7 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Portland Bangers | Bigfoot FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 3.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.7 | 1.6 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Portland Bangers 0–0–2 Bigfoot FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/25 USA USL League Two | Bigfoot FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Portland Bangers |
| 16/05/25 USA USL League Two | Portland Bangers | 0-3 | Bigfoot FC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Portland Bangers
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06 | Ballard FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Ballard FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/06 | Midlakes United USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Tacoma Stars USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Tacoma Stars USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/05 | West Seattle Junction FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Snohomish United USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | FC Olympia USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Ballard FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | Lane United FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Bigfoot FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Snohomish United USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Tacoma Stars USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 19/06 | Ballard FC USA USL League Two |
1-5 | 1-6 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | FC Olympia USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 08/06 | Tacoma Stars USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | FC Olympia USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Snohomish United USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Midlakes United USA USL League Two |
0-5 | 1-6 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | West Seattle Junction FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 14/07 | FC Olympia USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 0 | L |