⚽ Football · USA USL League Two · 25/06, 01:00
Connecticut Rush vs New England FC
48%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Connecticut Rush 1488 · New England FC 1596
| Connecticut Rush | Draw | New England FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 24% | 46% |
| Market | 27% | 24% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3Connecticut Rush 1.32 · New England FC 1.68
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 51%
BTTSYes · 60%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours New England FC (rating 1488 vs 1596).
- High estimate: 3.45 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 2.5 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Connecticut Rush | New England FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 2.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 1.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.7 | 2.8 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Connecticut Rush 0–0–1 New England FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/26 USA USL League Two | New England FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Connecticut Rush |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Connecticut Rush
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/06 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Seacoast United Phantoms USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 04/06 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/05 | Seacoast United Phantoms USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 24/05 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 21/05 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Boston City FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
New England FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Seacoast United Phantoms USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 04/06 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 28/05 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 14/05 | Seacoast United Phantoms USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Boston City FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |