⚽ Football · USA USL League Two · 27/06, 04:00
FC Tucson vs City SC San Diego
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Tucson 1524 · City SC San Diego 1500
| FC Tucson | Draw | City SC San Diego | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 24% | 27% |
| Market | 55% | 22% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.25FC Tucson 1.89 · City SC San Diego 1.36
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 56%
BTTSYes · 64%
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- High estimate: 3.25 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours City SC San Diego: 2-0-1.
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Tucson | City SC San Diego | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 2.1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.2 | 2.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.5 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Tucson 1–0–2 City SC San Diego
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 USA USL League Two | City SC San Diego | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FC Tucson |
| 29/06/25 USA USL League Two | FC Tucson | 3-0 HT 2-0 | City SC San Diego |
| 13/06/25 USA USL League Two | City SC San Diego | 2-1 HT 1-1 | FC Tucson |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
FC Tucson
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Ventura County Fusion USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | AMSG FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/06 | Capo FC II USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/06 | City SC San Diego USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Southern California Eagles USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | Southern California Eagles USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Redlands FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 21/07 | Ventura County Fusion USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/07 | Almaden SC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Stars FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
City SC San Diego
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Stars FC USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/06 | AMSG FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Capo FC II USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 15/06 | Ventura County Fusion USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 11/06 | Stars FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 12 | W |
| 07/06 | FC Tucson USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Redlands FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/05 | Southern California Eagles USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Capo FC II USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/07 | Redlands FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |