Football · USA USL League Two · 29/06, 01:30
Swarm FC vs Dothan United
38%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Swarm FC 1581 · Dothan United 1573
| Swarm FC | Draw | Dothan United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | 39% | 24% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.94Swarm FC 1.49 · Dothan United 1.45
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Dothan United: 2-3-0.
- Early goals: 2 combined avg at HT (1 + 1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Swarm FC | Dothan United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.7 | 2.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.3 / 6 | 1 / 1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.5 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Swarm FC 0–3–2 Dothan United
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/26 USA USL League Two | Dothan United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Swarm FC |
| 08/06/25 USA USL League Two | Swarm FC | 0-5 HT 0-4 | Dothan United |
| 01/06/25 USA USL League Two | Dothan United | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Swarm FC |
| 14/07/24 USA USL League Two | Dothan United | 3-3 HT 0-3 | Swarm FC |
| 16/05/24 USA USL League Two | Swarm FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dothan United |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Swarm FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Montgomery United FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | East Atlanta FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Apotheos USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Montgomery United FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 8 | D |
| 10/06 | Columbus United FC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 07/06 | Birmingham Legion FC Futures USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 04/06 | Dothan United USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Columbus United FC USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | Apotheos USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 13/07 | Apotheos USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
Dothan United
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Columbus United FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | East Atlanta FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Birmingham Legion FC Futures USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 04/06 | Swarm FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | Columbus United FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/05 | Birmingham Legion FC Futures USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | East Atlanta FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Montgomery United FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Fort Lauderdale Utd USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |