⚽ Football · USA USL League Two · 26/06, 02:00
Long Island Rough Riders vs Cedar Stars Rush
57%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Long Island Rough Riders 1546 · Cedar Stars Rush 1527
| Long Island Rough Riders | Draw | Cedar Stars Rush | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 24% | 27% |
| Market | 64% | 20% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.81Long Island Rough Riders 1.65 · Cedar Stars Rush 1.16
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 55%
BTTSYes · 55%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- H2H favours Long Island Rough Riders: 5-0-1.
- Early goals: 1.6 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Long Island Rough Riders | Cedar Stars Rush | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.3 | 2 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Long Island Rough Riders 5–0–1 Cedar Stars Rush
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/25 USA USL League Two | Cedar Stars Rush | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Long Island Rough Riders |
| 30/06/24 USA USL League Two | Long Island Rough Riders | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Cedar Stars Rush |
| 02/07/23 USA USL League Two | Cedar Stars Rush | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Long Island Rough Riders |
| 19/06/23 USA USL League Two | Long Island Rough Riders | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Cedar Stars Rush |
| 13/06/22 USA USL League Two | Long Island Rough Riders | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Cedar Stars Rush |
| 30/05/22 USA USL League Two | Cedar Stars Rush | 2-4 HT 1-1 | Long Island Rough Riders |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Long Island Rough Riders
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 17/06 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/06 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 04/06 | Hudson Valley Hammers USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 28/05 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 20/05 | New Jersey Copa USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 16/07 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 13/07 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
Cedar Stars Rush
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/06 | New Jersey Copa USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 29/06 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |