⚽ Football · Kuwait League · 25/06, 20:45
Al Salmiyah SC vs Al Arabi SC
41%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Salmiyah SC 1536 · Al Arabi SC 1559
| Al Salmiyah SC | Draw | Al Arabi SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 27% | 31% |
| Market | 24% | 26% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.42Al Salmiyah SC 1.32 · Al Arabi SC 1.11
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 53%
BTTSNo · 51%
Likely score1-1
💎 ValueAl Salmiyah SC or draw · @1.98Safer option: double chance at 1.98 (win or draw). The straight winner paid more but is riskier.
🔑 Match keys
- H2H favours Al Arabi SC: 4-1-1.
- Early goals: 1.3 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 0.5) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Salmiyah SC | Al Arabi SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.9 | 2.3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Salmiyah SC 1–1–4 Al Arabi SC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/26 Kuwait League | Al Salmiyah SC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Al Arabi SC |
| 19/10/25 Kuwait League | Al Arabi SC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Al Salmiyah SC |
| 30/05/25 Kuwait Cup | Al Arabi SC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Al Salmiyah SC |
| 20/04/25 Kuwait League | Al Salmiyah SC | 2-3 HT 0-3 | Al Arabi SC |
| 29/03/25 Kuwait League | Al Arabi SC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Al Salmiyah SC |
| 06/11/24 Kuwait League | Al Salmiyah SC | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Al Arabi SC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Al Salmiyah SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 16/06 | Al Qadsia SC Kuwait League |
1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 12/06 | Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 28/05 | Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Al Shabab Club Kuwait League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Al Qadsia SC Kuwait League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/02 | Al Arabi SC Kuwait League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/02 | Al Salibikhaet SC Kuwait Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 07/02 | Al Jahra Kuwait League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Al Arabi SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | Al Qadsia SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/06 | Kazma SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Al Qadsia SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Al Naser SC Kuwait League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Al Jahra Kuwait League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 9 | D |
| 21/05 | Al Tadamon SC Kuwait League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 18/05 | Al Kuwait SC Kuwait Crown Prince Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 23/02 | Al Salmiyah SC Kuwait League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/02 | Al Sahel SC Kuwait Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |