Football · Kuwait League · 29/06, 21:15
Al Arabi SC vs Al Fahaheel SC
73%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Arabi SC 1543 · Al Fahaheel SC 1411
| Al Arabi SC | Draw | Al Fahaheel SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 20% | 8% |
| Market | 73% | 19% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.62Al Arabi SC 2.08 · Al Fahaheel SC 0.54
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 51%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Arabi SC (rating 1543 vs 1411).
- H2H favours Al Arabi SC: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Arabi SC | Al Fahaheel SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 1 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.1 | 2.3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 2.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Arabi SC 4–2–0 Al Fahaheel SC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/26 Kuwait Crown Prince Cup | Al Arabi SC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Al Fahaheel SC |
| 15/01/26 Kuwait League | Al Arabi SC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Al Fahaheel SC |
| 17/09/25 Kuwait League | Al Fahaheel SC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Al Arabi SC |
| 24/04/25 Kuwait Crown Prince Cup | Al Fahaheel SC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Al Arabi SC |
| 05/04/25 Kuwait League | Al Arabi SC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Al Fahaheel SC |
| 02/02/25 Kuwait League | Al Fahaheel SC | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Al Arabi SC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Arabi SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Al Salmiyah SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22/06 | Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | Al Qadsia SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/06 | Kazma SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Al Qadsia SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Al Naser SC Kuwait League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Al Jahra Kuwait League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 9 | D |
| 21/05 | Al Tadamon SC Kuwait League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 18/05 | Al Kuwait SC Kuwait Crown Prince Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 23/02 | Al Salmiyah SC Kuwait League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Al Fahaheel SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Al Qadsia SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/06 | Al Salmiyah SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 19/06 | Kazma SC Kuwait League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 16/06 | Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Al Tadamon SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 28/05 | Al Salmiyah SC Kuwait League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Kazma SC Kuwait League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 21/05 | Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 22/02 | Al Naser SC Kuwait League |
0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 12/02 | Al Shabab Club Kuwait Cup |
0-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |