Football · Kuwait League · 29/06, 18:05
Al Qadsia SC vs Al Kuwait SC
45%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Qadsia SC 1529 · Al Kuwait SC 1546
| Al Qadsia SC | Draw | Al Kuwait SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 26% | 45% |
| Market | 29% | 26% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.06Al Qadsia SC 1.35 · Al Kuwait SC 1.71
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Al Kuwait SC: 3-2-1.
- Early goals: 1.3 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Qadsia SC | Al Kuwait SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 2.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.7 | 2.3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Qadsia SC 1–2–3 Al Kuwait SC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 Kuwait League | Al Qadsia SC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Al Kuwait SC |
| 01/02/26 Kuwait Super Cup | Al Kuwait SC | 4-5 HT 0-1 | Al Qadsia SC |
| 26/09/25 Kuwait League | Al Kuwait SC | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Al Qadsia SC |
| 29/05/25 Kuwait Cup | Al Kuwait SC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Al Qadsia SC |
| 06/05/25 Kuwait League | Al Kuwait SC | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Al Qadsia SC |
| 28/01/25 Kuwait Super Cup | Al Kuwait SC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Al Qadsia SC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Qadsia SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 22/06 | Kazma SC Kuwait League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | Al Arabi SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/06 | Al Salmiyah SC Kuwait League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 13/06 | Al Arabi SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/05 | Al Jahra Kuwait League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Al Tadamon SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Al Salmiyah SC Kuwait League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Al-Rayyan SC Gulf Club Champions League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 27/02 | Burgan SC Kuwait Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
Al Kuwait SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Kazma SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 22/06 | Al Arabi SC Kuwait League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 19/06 | Al Salmiyah SC Kuwait League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 16/06 | Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/06 | Al Salmiyah SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Kazma SC Kuwait League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | Al Naser SC Kuwait League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 21/05 | Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/05 | Al Arabi SC Kuwait Crown Prince Cup |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 13/05 | Svay Rieng FC AFC Challenge League |
0-2 | 4-3 | 7 | 7 | W |