Football · Kuwait League · 29/06, 21:15
Kazma SC vs Al Salmiyah SC
39%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kazma SC 1516 · Al Salmiyah SC 1533
| Kazma SC | Draw | Al Salmiyah SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 32% | 30% |
| Market | 40% | 29% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.16Kazma SC 1.17 · Al Salmiyah SC 1
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 52%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Kazma SC: 2-3-1.
- Early goals: 1.3 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kazma SC | Al Salmiyah SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.8 | 3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kazma SC 2–3–1 Al Salmiyah SC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/12/25 Kuwait League | Kazma SC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Al Salmiyah SC |
| 14/09/25 Kuwait League | Al Salmiyah SC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Kazma SC |
| 15/01/25 Kuwait League | Al Salmiyah SC | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Kazma SC |
| 17/08/24 Kuwait League | Kazma SC | 4-3 HT 2-1 | Al Salmiyah SC |
| 02/02/24 Kuwait Cup | Kazma SC | 3-3 HT 1-3 | Al Salmiyah SC |
| 04/01/24 Kuwait League | Kazma SC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Al Salmiyah SC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kazma SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 22/06 | Al Qadsia SC Kuwait League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/06 | Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/06 | Al Arabi SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/06 | Al Naser SC Kuwait League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Al Shabab Club Kuwait League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 23/02 | Al Qadsia SC Kuwait League |
1-2 | 4-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 17/02 | Al Tadamon SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Al Salmiyah SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Al Arabi SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 22/06 | Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 16/06 | Al Qadsia SC Kuwait League |
1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 12/06 | Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 28/05 | Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Al Shabab Club Kuwait League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Al Qadsia SC Kuwait League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/02 | Al Arabi SC Kuwait League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/02 | Al Salibikhaet SC Kuwait Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 6 | W |