Football · Finland Kolmonen · 01/07, 18:00
Gilla FC vs HooGee
Expected goals: 3.96 (Gilla FC 2.58 · HooGee 1.38). The model gives 63% home, 18% draw, 19% away. Under 4 goals (51%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 2-1.
63%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gilla FC 1470 · HooGee 1459
| Gilla FC | Draw | HooGee | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 19% | 18% |
| Market | 63% | 18% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.96 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.96Gilla FC 2.58 · HooGee 1.38
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 51%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gilla FC | HooGee | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.1 | 1.4 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/22/33% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.4 | 2.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.4 |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EIF Academy | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 19 | 22 |
| 2 | ESPA | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Poxyt | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 19 |
| 4 | LePa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 17 |
| 5 | NuPS | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 16 |
| 6 | LoPa | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 16 |
| 7 | MPS | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 12 |
| 8 | GrIFK Reservi | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 11 |
| 9 | Gilla FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 11 |
| 10 | HooGee | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 10 |
| 11 | EPS Reservi | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 9 |
| 12 | PPJ/Ruoholahti | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 9 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gilla FC | HooGee |
|---|---|---|
| LoPa | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| EIF Academy | 1-3 L | 2-4 L |
| NuPS | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| GrIFK Reservi | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| EPS Reservi | 5-1 W | 2-6 L |
| PPJ/Ruoholahti | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| ESPA | 1-6 L | 0-3 L |
| Poxyt | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| MPS | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| LePa | 4-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 5 L | 3 W 1 D 6 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gilla FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | LoPa Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 10/06 | EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | NuPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/05 | GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | ESPA Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-6 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 29/04 | Poxyt Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 23/04 | MPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 19/04 | LePa Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
HooGee
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 12/06 | ESPA Finland Kolmonen |
0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 05/06 | MPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | LoPa Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen |
0-3 | 2-6 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | LePa Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 28/04 | PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 23/04 | NuPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 17/04 | Poxyt Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |