⚽ Football · USA USL League Two · 25/06, 02:00
Lubbock Matadors SC vs McKinney Chupacabras FC
40%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lubbock Matadors SC 1492 · McKinney Chupacabras FC 1534
| Lubbock Matadors SC | Draw | McKinney Chupacabras FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 24% | 36% |
| Market | 33% | 24% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.06Lubbock Matadors SC 1.57 · McKinney Chupacabras FC 1.48
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 51%
BTTSYes · 61%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours McKinney Chupacabras FC (rating 1492 vs 1534).
- Early goals: 1.8 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lubbock Matadors SC | McKinney Chupacabras FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 2 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 3.5 | 1.8 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.5 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Lubbock Matadors SC 0–0–1 McKinney Chupacabras FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/26 USA USL League Two | McKinney Chupacabras FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Lubbock Matadors SC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Lubbock Matadors SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Denton Diablos FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Fort Worth Vaqueros FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | McKinney Chupacabras FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Texoma FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/06 | Denton Diablos FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | West Texas FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Fort Worth Vaqueros FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Fort Worth Vaqueros FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/07 | Hickory FC USA NPSL |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/07 | Jacksonville Armada U23 USA NPSL |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
McKinney Chupacabras FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Denton Diablos FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | West Texas FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 18/06 | Fort Worth Vaqueros FC USA USL League Two |
4-0 | 7-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | West Texas FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/06 | Lubbock Matadors SC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Fort Worth Vaqueros FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Texoma FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Denton Diablos FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/07 | Denton Diablos FC USA USL League Two |
0-5 | 0-11 | – | – | L |
| 06/07 | Louisiana Krewe FC USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 9 | L |