⚽ Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 27/06, 20:30
Deportivo Capiata vs Carapegua
47%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Capiata 1523 · Carapegua 1484
| Deportivo Capiata | Draw | Carapegua | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 29% | 20% |
| Market | 44% | 29% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.26Deportivo Capiata 1.44 · Carapegua 0.82
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Capiata | Carapegua | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.1 | 1.2 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.2 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Capiata 0–2–0 Carapegua
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Carapegua | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Capiata |
| 30/06/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Deportivo Capiata | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Carapegua |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Deportivo Capiata
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/05 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 01/05 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 14/04 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
Carapegua
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 25/05 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 28/04 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 21/04 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |

