Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 30/06, 20:30

Resistencia FC vs Encarnacion FC

Expected goals: 2.39 (Resistencia FC 1.41 · Encarnacion FC 0.98). The model gives 46% home, 28% draw, 26% away. Over 2 goals (53%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

46%1

46% 28% 26%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Resistencia FC 1507 · Encarnacion FC 1440

	Resistencia FC	Draw	Encarnacion FC
Our model	46%	29%	25%
Market	47%	27%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis

Expected goals2.39Resistencia FC 1.41 · Encarnacion FC 0.98

Over / Under 2Over 2 · 53%

BTTSYes · 51%

Most likely total2 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Resistencia FC (rating 1507 vs 1440).
H2H favours Resistencia FC: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 12.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Resistencia FC	Encarnacion FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.1	1.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.2 / 0.3	6.2 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.30

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 1.90 → 1.90 – 0%

X 3.30 → 3.30 – 0%

2 3.40 → 3.40 – 0%

Over/Under 2

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Resistencia FC 2–2–0 Encarnacion FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Resistencia FC	2-2 HT 0-1	Encarnacion FC
23/04/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Encarnacion FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Resistencia FC
27/09/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Resistencia FC	5-1 HT 3-0	Encarnacion FC
23/06/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Encarnacion FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Resistencia FC

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	12	7	3	2	28	18	24
2	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	12	7	3	2	17	9	24
3	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	11	7	2	2	20	10	23
4	Deportivo Capiata	12	5	5	2	19	14	20
5	Sol de America	12	5	5	2	15	10	20
6	Independiente FBC	11	5	3	3	16	13	18
7	Guairena FC	11	5	3	3	14	13	18
8	Club Atlético Tembetary	12	5	2	5	18	17	17
9	Deportivo Santaní	11	4	3	4	10	10	15
10	Resistencia FC	11	3	5	3	12	14	14
11	Carapegua	12	4	2	6	14	24	14
12	Fernando de la Mora	12	4	1	7	11	18	13
13	Tacuary	12	1	6	5	16	21	9
14	Paraguari AC	12	2	3	7	10	15	9
15	Encarnacion FC	11	2	2	7	12	18	8
16	3 de Noviembre	12	0	6	6	10	18	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Resistencia FC	Encarnacion FC
Deportivo Santaní	0-3 L	1-3 L
Paraguari AC	2-0 W	1-0 W
Sol de America	1-3 L	2-3 L
Deportivo Capiata	1-1 D	0-1 L
Independiente FBC	0-0 D	2-3 L
Tacuary	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Resistencia FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Resistencia FC

WDDLWDDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/06	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-3	5	6	L
30/05	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-1	6	6	W
24/05	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	4	10	D
21/05	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-2	8	7	D
16/05	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	8	D
08/05	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
03/05	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-3	1	7	L
25/04	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
17/04	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
12/04	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	4	9	W

Encarnacion FC

LWLDLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/06	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-3	5	7	L
31/05	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	1	8	L
23/05	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	2-3	3	5	L
19/05	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-2	4	9	D
16/05	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	10	8	L
10/05	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
02/05	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-2	8	8	D
24/04	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	4	11	L
18/04	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
13/04	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-2	1-3	3	2	L